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In probability theory, an empirical measure is a random measure arising from a particular realization of a (usually finite) sequence of random variables. The precise definition is found below. Empirical measures are relevant to mathematical statistics. The motivation for studying empirical measures is that it is often impossible to know the true underlying probability measure . We collect observations and compute relative frequencies. We can estimate , or a related distribution function by means of the empirical measure or empirical distribution function, respectively. These are uniformly good estimates under certain conditions. Theorems in the area of empirical processes provide rates of this convergence. ==Definition== Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with values in the state space ''S'' with probability measure ''P''. Definition :The ''empirical measure'' ''P''''n'' is defined for measurable subsets of ''S'' and given by :: :where is the indicator function and is the Dirac measure. For a fixed measurable set ''A'', ''nP''''n''(''A'') is a binomial random variable with mean ''nP''(''A'') and variance ''nP''(''A'')(1 − ''P''(''A'')). In particular, ''P''''n''(''A'') is an unbiased estimator of ''P''(''A''). Definition :, a collection of measurable subsets of ''S''. To generalize this notion further, observe that the empirical measure maps measurable functions to their ''empirical mean'', : In particular, the empirical measure of ''A'' is simply the empirical mean of the indicator function, ''P''''n''(''A'') = ''P''''n'' ''I''''A''. For a fixed measurable function , is a random variable with mean and variance . By the strong law of large numbers, ''P''n(''A'') converges to ''P''(''A'') almost surely for fixed ''A''. Similarly converges to almost surely for a fixed measurable function . The problem of uniform convergence of ''P''''n'' to ''P'' was open until Vapnik and Chervonenkis solved it in 1968. If the class (or ) is Glivenko–Cantelli with respect to ''P'' then ''P''n'' converges to ''P'' uniformly over (or ). In other words, with probability 1 we have : 抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)』 ■ウィキペディアで「empirical measure」の詳細全文を読む スポンサード リンク
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