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empirical measure : ウィキペディア英語版
empirical measure

In probability theory, an empirical measure is a random measure arising from a particular realization of a (usually finite) sequence of random variables. The precise definition is found below. Empirical measures are relevant to mathematical statistics.
The motivation for studying empirical measures is that it is often impossible to know the true underlying probability measure P. We collect observations X_1, X_2, \dots , X_n and compute relative frequencies. We can estimate P, or a related distribution function F by means of the empirical measure or empirical distribution function, respectively. These are uniformly good estimates under certain conditions. Theorems in the area of empirical processes provide rates of this convergence.
==Definition==

Let X_1, X_2, \dots be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with values in the state space ''S'' with probability measure ''P''.
Definition
:The ''empirical measure'' ''P''''n'' is defined for measurable subsets of ''S'' and given by
::P_n(A) = \sum_^n I_A(X_i)=\frac\sum_^n \delta_(A)
:where I_A is the indicator function and \delta_X is the Dirac measure.
For a fixed measurable set ''A'', ''nP''''n''(''A'') is a binomial random variable with mean ''nP''(''A'') and variance ''nP''(''A'')(1 − ''P''(''A'')). In particular, ''P''''n''(''A'') is an unbiased estimator of ''P''(''A'').
Definition
:\bigl(P_n(c)\bigr)_, a collection of measurable subsets of ''S''.
To generalize this notion further, observe that the empirical measure P_n maps measurable functions f:S\to \mathbb to their ''empirical mean'',
:f\mapsto P_n f=\int_S f \, dP_n=\frac\sum_^n f(X_i)
In particular, the empirical measure of ''A'' is simply the empirical mean of the indicator function, ''P''''n''(''A'') = ''P''''n'' ''I''''A''.
For a fixed measurable function f, P_nf is a random variable with mean \mathbbf and variance \frac\mathbb(f -\mathbb f)^2.
By the strong law of large numbers, ''P''n(''A'') converges to ''P''(''A'') almost surely for fixed ''A''. Similarly P_nf converges to \mathbb f almost surely for a fixed measurable function f. The problem of uniform convergence of ''P''''n'' to ''P'' was open until Vapnik and Chervonenkis solved it in 1968.
If the class \mathcal (or \mathcal) is Glivenko–Cantelli with respect to ''P'' then ''P''n'' converges to ''P'' uniformly over c\in\mathcal (or f\in \mathcal). In other words, with probability 1 we have
:\|P_n-P\|_\mathcal=\sup_=\sup_f|\to 0.

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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